By The Numbers: Week 7, 2019

It’s that time again. I know that this week was a weird one, and that will be reflected in my picks — I went with some sure bets and then some where I’d be some kind of genius for picking them if somehow they were to win. Whatever the case, we should probably look at last week’s picks before getting into further commmentary.

Giants 24, Patriots 20
Panthers 21, Buccs 20 – Correct
Ravens 27, Bengals 14 – Correct
Seahawks 28, Browns 13 – Correct
Saints 30, Jags 20 – Correct
Chiefs 28, Texans 23
Dolphins 21, Redskins 9
Eagles 23, Vikings 17
Falcons 21, Cards 13
Rams 31, 49ers 27
Titans 17, Broncos 10
Cowboys 35, Jets 14
Chargers 20, Steelers 9
Packers 27, Lions 23 – Correct

This Week’s Score: 5-9
Season Score: 55-36

So yeah, obviously my worst week of the season so far. I knew I was going out on a limb that the Giants would beat the Patriots, and so that was kind of a giveaway. I also had no clue who was going to win between the winless Redskins and Dolphins so that was a coin flip away from going my way (particularly because the game was decided by a point). In other cases though, you can’t blame me for picking the way I did. Who would have thought the Cowboys would give the Jets their first win of the season? Did you see the Texans beating the Chiefs? I didn’t either. Whatever the case, what’s done is done and I can’t really be bothered by it. The same way Lions fans shouldn’t be bothered by being “robbed” on calls. We’ve already lost a game this year due to poor officiating, and let’s not get into games like the “Fail Mary” from the past. It happens to every team, get over it. With that said, I’m glad we were even able to be in that position, because honestly we let the Lions get out ahead too easily. Things settled down and the defense made some stops, but in the end a penalty caused a FG attempt to turn into a touchdown and another penalty gave us the ability to spike the ball with two seconds left to play for a chip shot field goal by Crosby to win the game. I’ll take it, but I didn’t like it as much as other victories this season. Still, the Pack are 5-1 going into a match against the Raiders, whom I don’t really see being as much of a challenge. We’ll see how that goes, but for now let’s make picks for the week.

Chiefs 27, Broncos 21
Rams 21, Falcons 13
Bills 28, Dolphins 10
Jaguars 24, Bengals 10
Vikings 21, Lions 20
Packers 27, Raiders 19
Texans 31, Colts 20
Giants 10, Cardinals 9
49ers 30, Redskins 14
Chargers 21, Titans 16
Saints 31, Bears 27
Seahawks 27, Ravens 21
Eagles 30, Cowboys 27
Patriots 35, Jets 14

We’ll check back in next week to go over another week of football. Until then.

By The Numbers: Week 6, 2019

The Packers ended up having a hell of a game last Sunday, facing off against the also 3-1 Cowboys (who were considered one of the NFC favorites to go to the SuperBowl). The defense was on point for much of the game, holding the ‘boys to 3 points up until the third quarter. We did blow a bit of a lead but it was mostly during garbage time and still ended up with a ten point lead, good enough to take the win. It was a pretty decisive road win though, and that builds morale. If we can keep giving it to our own division, we only need a few road wins to get back into the playoffs. We match up favorably against the Lions who we face this upcoming week, so I think we should be able to start talking about 5-1 pretty soon. Let’s see how I did with my picks last week:

Seahawks 27, Rams 21 – Correct
Jags 21, Panthers 14
Cardinals 25, Bengals 24 – Correct
Texans 23, Falcons 20 – Correct
Saints 30, Buccs 24 – Correct
Vikings 31, Giants 30 – Correct
Bears 24, Raiders 13
Eagles 35, Jets 7 – Correct
Ravens 20, Steelers 10 – Correct
Bills 27, Titans 14 – Correct
Patriots 40, Redskins 17 – Correct
Chargers 21, Broncos 6
Packers 28, Cowboys 23 – Correct
Chiefs 35, Colts 21
49ers 26, Browns 19
– Correct

This week’s score: 11-4
Season score: 50-27

Still having a pretty good year. Some surprises there, didn’t see the Chiefs losing to the Colts, nor did I see the Bears tanking against the Raiders, but stranger things have happened, I suppose. Whatever the case, at just over the quarter mark, I have almost double correct picks over incorrect ones, so I’d say that’s pretty good. I’m not sure if I’ll do better than last year when it’s all said and done, but we’ll find out in a couple of months. Let’s make some picks for Week 6:

Giants 24, Patriots 20
Panthers 21, Buccs 20
Ravens 27, Bengals 14
Seahawks 28, Browns 13
Saints 30, Jags 20
Chiefs 28, Texans 23
Dolphins 21, Redskins 9
Eagles 23, Vikings 17
Falcons 21, Cards 13
Rams 31, 49ers 27
Titans 17, Broncos 10
Cowboys 35, Jets 14
Chargers 20, Steelers 9
Packers 27, Lions 23

We’ll check in again next week to see how I scored. I’m going out on a limb here that the Giants can once again pull out some heroics and eliminate the Patriots’ win streak. It’s also a reach as to who is going to finally get a win when it comes to the winless teams, namely Washington and Miami. I’m thinking Miami finally gets a win but I doubt it matters.

By The Numbers: Week 5, 2019

Apologies for my absence as of late. I have been in a strange place as of late, but that’s a story for another post. I can assure you, that I have drafts in the works, I’ve just been more focused on real life and less focused on blogging for the past month. Whatever the case, I’ve at minimum committed to this particular column for the season, so let’s keep it going (in before I miss another Thursday pick!). The Packers (along with several other teams) fell off of the undefeated list. Now sitting at 3-1, we’ve still managed to hold onto the NFC North Division lead for another week. The Bears tied our record on Sunday, but because we hold the head-to-head victory we stay on top. The Lions and the Vikings both lost, so they fell to the bottom of the rankings. This is good news, though the game against the Eagles was both an awesome show and a huge disappointment. It was nice to see the offense get going early, but then stay hot up until the 4th quarter. It was terrible to see two fruitless trips to the red zone in the final minutes of the game, culminating in a game-losing interception by Rodgers. Two things to consider though, about that last play — the ball was tipped and then ended up in a defender’s hand, so it’s not as if it was a horrible throw that falls on Rodgers’ shoulders. Also, the defender was already tackling the receiver before the ball even got there, and well that should have been a penalty that erased the INT. What’s done is done though, so let’s grade my picks for last week:

Packers 27, Eagles 20
Giants 24, Redskins 13 – Correct
Chargers 21, Dolphins 9 – Correct
Colts 20, Raiders 10
Texans 30, Panthers 17
Chiefs 31, Lions 20 – Correct
Ravens 23, Browns 20
Falcons 24, Titans 20
Rams 28, Buccs 22
Seahawks 30, Cards 14 – Correct
Jags 26, Broncos 21 – Correct
Vikings 30, Bears 13
Cowboys 35, Saints 27
Bengals 14, Steelers 10

Week Score: 5-9
Season Score: 39-23

Yuck. What a bunch of stinkers those picks were, but I’d argue most people would have seen it the way I did. I didn’t think the Eagles would play as well as they did. I thought the Browns were still overhyped and that the Ravens would win that game. Who knows what’s going on in the South? I can’t pick these games for shit. The Texans and Panthers and Buccs are so up and down I can’t make sense of it. Rams losing to the Buccs? Saints beating the Cowboys without Drew Brees? You can’t make this shit up. Also, the Steelers finally got a win. Let’s see what’s up with week 5:

Seahawks 27, Rams 21
Jags 21, Panthers 14
Cardinals 25, Bengals 24
Texans 23, Falcons 20
Saints 30, Buccs 24
Vikings 31, Giants 30
Bears 24, Raiders 13
Eagles 35, Jets 7
Ravens 20, Steelers 10
Bills 27, Titans 14
Patriots 40, Redskins 17
Chargers 21, Broncos 6
Packers 28, Cowboys 23
Chiefs 35, Colts 21
49ers 26, Browns 19

There’s still some hard-to-tell picks I had to make here, but I’ll stand by them regardless. The season is at a point where some teams are separating themselves from the pack while the middling teams are harder to tell if they’re on an up or downswing. We’ll check back in next week to see how I did.

By The Numbers: Week 4, 2019

Another week has passed and we’re starting to see the larger picture taking shape. Granted, it is still too early to name a list of superbowl contenders, but we are seeing “better” teams distancing themselves from the pack. We’re also seeing some teams repeatedly shooting themselves in the foot. The Antonio Brown saga seems to have ended for now… for those not paying attention, it started before preseason, where he got frost bite on a foot due to cryogenic therapy. Then there was the helmet fiasco. Then he got cut from the Raiders after calling one of his coaches a cracker. Then he gets signed by the Patriots (they would sign a scumbag like him, wouldn’t they?) and within a day or two allegations of sexual assault and rape come up. He played a lone game for the Patriots, caught one touchdown pass from Tom Brady, and then left New England faster than Paul Revere. The Pats dropped him after more allegations started to arise. Whatever the case, his story didn’t really hurt or help the Pats — they’re one of the remaining undefeated teams in the league, but have had an arguably weak schedule to this point. As for my Packers, they got it done again, mainly on the defensive side of the ball. The offense took some steps forward but still aren’t where they should be. I’m hoping that part of the ship is righted come Thursday night against the Eagles. Let’s see how I did last week:

Eagles 21, Lions 14
Patriots 35, Jets 13 – Correct
Vikings 24, Raiders 10 – Correct
Chiefs 24, Ravens 21 – Correct
Falcons 27, Colts 20
Packers 28, Broncos 12 – Correct
Cowboys 31, Dolphins 7 – Correct
Bills 26, Bengals 9 – Correct
Buccs 20, Giants 10
Panthers 23, Cards 17 – Correct
49ers 24, Steelers 21 – Correct
Seahawks 30, Saints 14
Texans 20, Chargers 17 – Correct
Rams 21, Browns 20 – Correct
Bears 17, Redskins 13 – Correct

This week’s score: 11-4. Should probably be 11-5 due to missing the thursday pick, but I’m just going to leave it out.
Season score: 34-13

Not bad despite some of these picks going the other way unexpectedly. I thought for sure the Giants were screwed with a backup starting, but the kid is alright. Ditto the Saints, but they pulled out the win without Drew Brees. Whatever, I’m doing pretty good with my picks so far, so let’s keep it rolling.

Packers 27, Eagles 20
Giants 24, Redskins 13
Chargers 21, Dolphins 9
Colts 20, Raiders 10
Texans 30, Panthers 17
Chiefs 31, Lions 20
Ravens 23, Browns 20
Falcons 24, Titans 20
Rams 28, Buccs 22
Seahawks 30, Cards 14
Jags 26, Broncos 21
Vikings 30, Bears 13
Cowboys 35, Saints 27
Bengals 14, Steelers 10

I’ll check back in next week with more football stuffs. Until then.

By The Numbers: Week 3, 2019

Well, I went ahead and spaced out on the fact that it was Thursday all day yesterday, until I started seeing football stuff popping up on social media. I managed to never miss a Thursday night pick last year, but only three weeks in I missed. Honestly it’s been kind of nice just relaxing when I have time off instead of having to crank out blog posts. It’s also nice to be in a good place as far as not feeling guilty about not posting or not playing games or whatever. Sometimes I pressure myself too much over my hobbies. Nonetheless, I have some grading to do for last week, and then I’ll make some picks for this weekend. I should note that I would have picked the Titans to beat the Jags anyway, so it would have just been a point against me regardless. Anyway, on with my scores:

Panthers 27, Buccs 24
Cowboys 30, Redskins 14 – Correct
Titans 20, Colts 17
Seahawks 23, Steelers 13 – Correct
Bills 24, Giants 20 – Correct
Patriots 50, Dolphins 3 – Correct
Texans 24, Jags 21 – Correct
Packers 28, Vikings 14 – Correct
Lions 20, Chargers 10 – Correct
49ers 20, Bengals 13 – Correct
Ravens 31, Cards 20 – Correct
Chiefs 35, Raiders 21 – Correct
Saints 33, Rams 24
Bears 24, Broncos 17 – Correct
Eagles 27, Falcons 23
Browns 14, Jets 13 – Correct

This week’s score: 12-4
Season score: 23-9

Not a bad week, I actually think I would have gotten at least one more of these correct were it not for the fact that I thought the Panthers would bounce back after a week 1 loss, and I don’t think the Rams would have done so well in their game against the Saints had Drew Brees not been injured. Whatever the case, I’ve been doing well to start off the season. Let’s make some picks for week 3:

Eagles 21, Lions 14
Patriots 35, Jets 13
Vikings 24, Raiders 10
Chiefs 24, Ravens 21
Falcons 27, Colts 20
Packers 28, Broncos 12
Cowboys 31, Dolphins 7
Bills 26, Bengals 9
Buccs 20, Giants 10
Panthers 23, Cards 17
49ers 24, Steelers 21
Seahawks 30, Saints 14
Texans 20, Chargers 17
Rams 21, Browns 20
Bears 17, Redskins 13

Clearly, having missed the pick on Thursday, I won’t count it in my points, unless someone makes a compelling argument as to why I should instead include in in the loss column. I’m fine either way, honestly. Just want to be held accountable. I think my team is looking good two weeks deep, and I think the Broncos should be another win. We haven’t started off this hot in a few years so it’s exciting. The defense is good for once. We still have an HOF Quarterback. I think we might actually go places this year, but I’m still not holding my breath until we’re well into December. Fingers crossed we make it that far without major incident.