By The Numbers: Week 2, 2015

bythenumbers

Bonus post today because I totally forgot to push out this column earlier in the week. The Thursday game already happened, so I won’t bother making a pick for that. The big news for me this week is that the Packers are facing off against the Seahawks — between them and the 49ers the past few years have been rough in the NFC playoffs. We’ve still gone more years in a row, but that last Super Bowl is feeling too far away at this point. Thankfully the Seahawks have some weaknesses, in that Wilson didn’t look that great in week 1, Kam Chancelor is still holding out for a contract, and if the Rams can do it, we should be able to as well. However, Bryan Bulaga is injured once again which means our O-line is down a starter, but on the positive side we got Datone Jones back from suspension and it looks like Morgan Burnett might play this week as well, shoring up our defense a bit. I have faith we’ll finally show these guys what’s up. Here’s the infographic for the week:

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Apparently we haven’t played the Seahawks all that many times, and despite being on a 3-game skid, we’re still ahead by two wins. There should definitely be an asterisk next to that first of the three wins, mainly because that’s the game where the fail mary happened and we ended up helping the league get the real referees back into the game. Wasn’t it the year before that when we got two head coaches fired after trouncing their teams? Seems like the Packers should be called America’s team, because we do more for the league than just play football. I’m looking forward to the game tomorrow, I’m not as nervous as I was at the beginning of the season looking ahead to that game. I know that in the NFC title game last season we man-handled them during all but the last four minutes of the game, so I want to see a repeat performance, but with a strong finish. No more allowing the Seachickens to be in a position to get that benefit of the doubt hail mary play in. No more allowing them to claw back into the game, just to squander their Super Bowl winning hopes by using a pass play from the 1-yard line with the game on the line and beastmode in the back field. Fuck the Seahawks. It’s our year.

Last week I managed to make 7/15 predictions correctly, not counting the Thursday game. I probably shouldn’t have gone with some of the upset picks, but sometimes the hype other analysts spread makes you think shitty teams like the Vikings will beat other shitty teams that actually look pretty good now like the 49ers. But I digress. Here’s my picks for week 2:

Patriots 27, Bills 21
Texans 21, Panthers, 17
Cardinals 30, Bears 20
Bengals 23, Chargers 13
Titans 31, Browns 14
Lions 38, Vikings 10
Saints 34, Buccs 14
Falcons 27, Giants 21
Steelers 23, 49ers 17
Rams 24, Skins 7
Dolphins 27, Jags 13
Ravens 24, Raiders 10
Eagles 28, Cowboys 24
Packers 31, Seachickens 21
Colts 21, Jets 20

Let’s see if I do any better this next week. See you again next week for another edition of By The Numbers.


Bonus video today. I made a normal (non-daily) run on Crystal and made it to the final boss of Nuclear Throne. Still didn’t kill him though. One of these days I’ll actually make a loop!

By The Numbers: Week 1, 2015

bythenumbers

Hello again, and welcome back to my weekly post about the NFL that runs during football season. I’ve been writing about my team, the Green Bay Packers off and on for the past few years, including infographics and commentary. Last year I became more focused and started making picks and throwing out projected scores for the games each week. That’s what you can expect from this column: my winner picks and my guess as to the scores. I attempted to grade myself each week last year but this year I’m just going to roll with it and watch it change like I did before. So yeah, some commentary, picks, scores, and an evolution of whatever else I deem worthy that is football related. Sound good? Those of you not interested in American Football can just skip these posts. With that said, let’s take a look at this week’s infographic straight from Packers.com:

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Click to Enlarge

I’ll start with the Packers, since I’m biased and all. For week 1 we start off by heading to Soldier Field to vie against the Bears, who have been our bitch during the Cutler years, save for that time someone broke Aaron Rodgers’ collarbone. I expect no different this week, even with Jordy Nelson out and James Jones in.  Lacy will get yardage, the rookie wideouts will show promise, and Rodgers will go for broke as ever.

I should also note that I would have picked the Steelers to win Thursday night’s game, just because I didn’t want to see the cheatin-ass Patriots win, but honestly I could give a shit about either team, unless the Pack are facing them in the Super Bowl. It’s a bit early for that, so we’ll just leave it at that.

Packers 36, Bears 14
Colts 28, Bills 21
Chiefs 21, Texans 20
Panthers 31, Jaguars 17
Jets 14, Browns 10
Seachickens 24, Rams 7
Dolphins 20, Redskins 13
Saints 34, Cardinals 24
Lions 21, Chargers 20
Broncos 24, Ravens 20
Bengals 26, Raiders 10
Buccs 24, Titans 14
Cowboys 31, Giants 28
Eagles 27, Falcons 21
Vikings 28, 49ers 14

There’s a few upsets in there I think, particularly that last matchup. The Vikings have been rebuilding for a while and they have AP back. The 49ers look bombed and depleted after an offseason of loss. We’ll see how the weekend ends, and then come back to some of my speculation on teams this week. We’ll see if my thoughts are correct.


Sticking with the random character select, I was stuck with Y.V. for this go round. It was going pretty well and pretty bad for most of the run (got some miracle saves), and I was just about to get to Lil Hunter when I died stupidly, and can’t really explain it.

By The Numbers: Week 17, 2014

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The final week of the season is upon us, and that means a few playoff implicating games are taking place on Sunday. In the AFC there are more teams still in the hunt than in the NFC, but there is still the horrible NFC South that could go one of two ways. The rest of the games are only affecting seeding, and for the Packers, this week’s game is a big deal. A win could see them as high as the No. 1 seed, a loss would see them dropping to the wild card spot and going on the road next weekend. Here’s this week’s infographic of the matchup:

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The Lions and Packers are both tied for first place in the NFC North, at 11-4. The Lions won the first divisional matchup between the teams, so this week’s 2nd game is for all the cookies. With a win and a Seattle loss, we’d take the no.1 seed, meaning the bye and homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. This is the ultimate goal, but we need some help from the Rams, who could upset the Seahawks, but it’s not entirely likely. If they win, it doesn’t matter what happens with the Packers, they will be the no.1 seed which doesn’t sound comforting. If Seattle wins and the Packers win, the Packers will be the no.2 seed, meaning a bye week and a home game in the divisional round, but the likelihood of having to go to Seattle for the Championship game looms ominously. I don’t want to think about a loss, where we’d have to go on the road all the way to make it to the bigger games, but we did win the super bowl a few years ago as a wild card, so that might not be too bad. However, a win this week would make us perfect at home this season, so it would be nice to have that homefield advantage. Here’s my other picks for the weekend:

Ravens 21, Browns 13
Texans 17, Jags 14
Chargers 27, Chiefs 10
Dolphins 21, Jets 10
Vikings 20, Bears 10
Patriots 28, Bills 17
Eagles 24, Giants 20
Saints 28, Buccs 13
Colts 24, Titans 7
Dallas 21, Skins 9
Falcons 27, Panthers 14
Broncos 36, Raiders 7
Packers 20, Lions 13
Rams 14, Seahawks 10
Cards 17, 49ers 14
Steelers 31, Bengals 27

We’ll see how it goes. I think want to see the Packers win and the Hawks lose, so let’s hope my predictions come true. See you next week for the playoff edition.

#NFL #picks #infographic #bythenumbers

By The Numbers: Week 15, 2014

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I’m sticking to the infographic and short form picks format this week, and as I said before I’ll probably stick to this format for the remainder of the season (and into the post season, though I might have a bit more to talk about when the playoffs start). So this week the Packers are facing the Buffalo Bills in Buffalo, and at the beginning of the season I would have said this was a nothing match up, but the Bills have proven to be a pretty decent team this year. Not only do they have a veteran QB in Kyle Orton (although not the best QB in the league, he’s a decent game manager), but their defense ranks in the top ten in three categories. Their defense should be the biggest challenge of the game, but with our defense faltering final half last week, I’m slightly concerned about the Bills’ offense being able to get on the board while the defense keeps things close. We’ll see how that all works out early tomorrow, but I’m still confident in picking the Packers to win it. With the win, we’d be 11-3, tied with the Cardinals for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, and stay a game ahead of the Lions should they win their game. If the Lions lose, we’re close enough to the end of the season that we’d probably lock up the North. We do lock up a wild card berth with a win tomorrow, so there’s a lot on the line, especially because the Bills are still alive in the playoff race, so they aren’t going to go out without a fight. Here’s the infographic for the game:

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Again, I missed the pick for Thursday, but honestly that game could have gone either way. The Rams have been upsetting teams left and right and the Cardinals have been struggling since they lost their starting QB. The Cards hung on to win it, but it was definitely a very defensive minded game. Anyway, on to the picks for the rest of the games:

Steelers 21, Falcons 17
Ravens 27, Jags 10
Packers 23, Bills 17
Panthers 17, Bucs 10
Bengals 20, Browns 14
Colts 24, Texans 21
Chiefs 30, Raiders 7
Patriots 27, Dolphins 17
Giants 17, Skins 13
Broncos 37, Chargers 24
Titans 21, Jets 20
Lions 31, Vikings 20
Seahawks 34, 49ers 21
Cowboys 24, Eagles 17
Saints 31, Bears 13

#NFL #picks #infographic

By The Numbers, Week 14, 2014

bythenumbers

Yes, I know, late again. I wrote a bunch at the beginning of this week and I did realize that I hadn’t done this by Thursday night when the Dallas/Chicago game was on, and I still didn’t feel like writing this post so I didn’t. I also don’t really feel like making the commentary on all of the games like I usually do, so I thought I’d do something a little different. First of all, remember early this season when I was just posting the Packers.com infographics and talking only about the Packers game for that week? Yeah, I stopped doing that in favor of making my picks for the week and that’s when I decided to name this column “By The Numbers.” I don’t want to stop with this, but for the past couple of weeks I’ve felt less pressed to do it. I think the problem is that I usually have posts lined up for the week, and by the time Thursday rolls around, if I haven’t already made that week’s picks, I feel like I have until Sunday to get them out. Call me old fashioned, but I remember the days when there wasn’t Thursday night football, and I still am in that mode a bit. Most of the time I forget about football on Thursday unless my team is playing that day. Really, this whole season I haven’t watched many games outside of the Packers’ games, whereas in the past few years I watched multiple games every Sunday and always watched MNF as well. Anyway, since I’m late again, I’m just going to give you the Packers infographic, and then make my picks without commentary. This might be the format I’ll use for the rest of the season, since I like the infographics and they don’t come out til later in the week and I am feeling lazy about making picks. Right now I’m more hyped about my team and their potential for the post season.

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So, for the naysayers out there who try to say that Aaron Rodgers shouldn’t be included in the elite quarterback talk, look at that stat line for 100th career start. Those aren’t the only records A-Rod has broken either; he’s broken many NFL and franchise (Packers) records. He doesn’t have the amount of Super Bowl appearances as Manning or Brady, but he’s still about mid-way through his career, and still has time to do so. Besides, if you just go by wins, he’s right there with Manning, and he’s broken records of Manning’s. Also, Brees is usually in that discussion, and he only has 1 super bowl appearance and 1 win. So yeah, I don’t think his status as elite should be contested.

This week the boys play Atlanta. Given Atlanta’s record and struggles this season, I would normally call this a sure win, but this is a team that has been winning lately, and has been looking better than their record would suggest. Plus, it’s when good teams get complacent that they lose to a team with a sub-.500 record. I think that we’ll see the best the Falcons have to offer because they are trying to hold onto their division lead to get into the playoffs. It might be another one of those sad years where we have a 7-9 playoff team, and this could be them. Either way, I expect it to be a decent game, but the Falcons do have the worst pass defense in the league, so we might just carve them up and cruise to the win. We’ll find out on Monday Night.

As for the rest of the games, here’s my picks:

Steelers 27, Bengals 21
Colts 28, Browns 17
Lions 31, Buccs 10
Texans 21, Jags 13
Ravens 27, Dolphins 24
Vikings 20, Jets 3
Saints 34, Panthers 10
Giants 17, Titans 10
Rams 24, Skins 6
Chiefs 20, Cards 17
Broncos 37, Bills 20
49ers 42, Raiders 9
Seahawks 27, Eagles 24
Pats 31, Chargers 17
Packers 31, Falcons 10

#bythenumbers #nfl #picks